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Weather Trends

  • Warmer, drier August forecast
    Jack Grum, August 1, 2009
    After summer 2009’s cool start, August will trend much warmer than 2008. The Midwest and Mid-Atlantic will be wetter than last year, while the Southeast and South Central will experience drier conditions. Tropical activity along the Gulf Coast will be lower this year, but a tropical system cannot be ruled out along the Mid-Atlantic coast. More
  • Cooler, drier trends favor shopping
    Jack Grum, Vice President Weather Trends International, July 1, 2009
    Last July, 70% of the nation trended warmer than normal and 56% trended warmer year-on-year. Unfortunately, it was a fairly wet month with year-on-year precipitation amounts trending 11% higher, making it the wettest retail July in 12 years for the country as a whole. The season's first land-falling hurricane, Dolly, brought heavy rain and moderate winds to South Texas. More
  • Cool, wet weather may dampen store traffic outside Western regions
    Jack Grum, Vice President, June 1, 2009
    Last June was slightly cooler than the year prior but warmer than average across the nation. The South Central and Southeastern regions had their hottest June in 10 years while the Northeast had its warmest retail June in five years. A heat wave in the East drove exceptional demand for hot weather categories at the beginning of the month and into Father's Day weekend. More
  • Warmer May beckons
    Jack Grum, May 1, 2009
    For the nation as a whole, this month will trend warmer than May 2008, which brought the coldest temperatures in six years and the wettest conditions in four years. The drop in May temperatures last year marked the third greatest change toward colder weather in 114 years. The month’s most favorable period was the week of Mother’s Day when the West experienced record heat. More
  • Hurricane expert to give 2009 forecast at National Hardware Show
    April 26, 2009
    Hurricane expert Philip Klotzbach will present the annual hurricane forecast on May 5 at the National Hardware Show in the Las Vegas Convention Center. More
  • Warmer weather not enough to thaw economy
    Jack Grum, Vice President, February 1, 2009
    Nationally, the spring of 2009 should see more favorable weather than last, although the start of the season may be a bit sluggish as the deep South trends similar to or slightly cooler than last year in February. Last year, February started off with record warm weather, but each of the last three weeks of the month trended colder than average. More
  • East Coast can expect snow while Midwest thaws
    Jack Grum, Vice President, January 1, 2009
    Last year's temperatures trended colder than normal, dipping lower than the year prior for most of the nation. Increased snowfall in January 2008 was bad news for store traffic as shoppers hunkered down at home waiting for warmer weather. At the same time, consumers were hit hard with higher energy costs for home heating. More
  • Prepare for colder conditions
    October 1, 2008
    Last fall brought the warmest retail October in 43 years, and 94% of the country trended warmer than the year prior. Precipitation was down 9% nationally, but still trended wetter than average by 16%. The hurricane season remained very quiet with Hurricane Noel the only system during the month. The warm weather in October helped extend the outdoor patio season with shoppers seeking out any rema... More
  • Expect normal September
    September 1, 2008
    September 2007 was the eighth warmest in 113 years and made a wholesale change from the year prior. Temperatures climbed from September 2006, which was recorded as the 31st coldest in more than 100 years. Last September brought only one brief taste of autumn around mid-month, with a few nights of light frost in the Midwest. More
  • Expect cool, wet conditions
    August 1, 2008
    Last August was the third warmest in 113 years and marked the third year in a row of warmer than average temperatures. A major heat wave and drought settled over the Southeast from Georgia to Arkansas. Retail industry same-store sales gains beat analysts’ expectations of 2% to 2.5% gains with a gain of +2. More
  • Sunny days ahead as shoppers seek cool shade, comfort
    July 1, 2008
    Last July was the coldest in three years, with 89% of the nation trending colder than July 2006. The number of hot days over 90 degrees were down 24% nationally versus the prior year, and extremely hot days over 100 degrees were down a significant 60%. The cooler weather and slowing economy produced a more sluggish sales environment for the clearance of patio product and deck categories. More
  • Count on June warming trend
    June 1, 2008
    Last June brought the month’s coldest temperatures in three years, with 59% of the nation trending colder than the prior year. The weather leading up to the July 4th holiday was very cool in many parts of the nation, and resulted in 108 new record-low temperatures being set. Rainfall was excessive across the South Central states and Florida, where many places saw more than 2 feet of rain. More
  • Cool, wet challenges for May
    May 1, 2008
    Last May was the warmest since 2004, due in large part to the exceptionally warm weather during the week prior to Mother’s Day. Some sales gains for outdoor living categories were up in the 10% to 20% range early in the month, but those gains were given back with the weak Memorial Day. The holiday brought the month’s worst weather, trending 2. More
  • Spring into early April sales
    April 1, 2008
    Last year, the month of April started out with very cold temperatures spreading southward. Freezing temperatures were common as far south as northern Florida, and snow was flying across the Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic region and parts of the Northeast. To make matters worse, the month turned out to be very wet as well. More
  • March brings wet, rainy conditions
    March 1, 2008
    March 2007 was the warmest in three years and ranked as the second warmest in 113 years of national records. During the month, 79% of the nation trended warmer than the year before. Only New England missed out on the warmth as Old Man Winter kept his grip on the region with plenty of snow and cold temperatures. More
  • Expect warmer February this year
    Jack Grum, vice president , Weather Trends International, February 1, 2008
    Last year, bitter cold temperatures locked in across the nation for most of the month, producing the coldest retail February in 18 years and the snowiest in 13 years. The month started out with record-setting lake effect snows in New York and ended the month with a late season blizzard in the upper Midwest. More
  • Cold trend continues this month
    January 1, 2008
    More
  • Fall weather returns
    November 1, 2007
    Last year, November trended colder than the prior year for 64% of the nation, but still averaged as the 14th warmest in 112 years of records. The month started off with very cold conditions nationwide along with a few early snowstorms in the Midwest, Rocky Mountains and Seattle. Northern Florida also saw the earliest occurrence of snow since 1912 on the 21st. More
  • October 2007 Outlook Better Than Last Year
    October 16, 2007
    More
  • Weather: September promises better end to season than last year
    September 1, 2007
    More
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